RaoscaffResearch
Prediction Series · Lock · Issue P-141
Prediction Series · P-141

Accenture's Q4 floor — ≥$17.75bn, locked at 90%.

90% probability Accenture's FQ4 FY2026 revenue lands at or above $17.75bn — the low end of its own $17.75–$18.40bn guide. A guidance-floor call on the IT-consulting bellwether. Resolves ~1 Oct 2026.

Type · Prediction Lock · guidance-floor threshold Locked · 2026-08-13 · before the FQ4 results Resolves · ~2026-10-01 · Accenture FQ4 FY2026 results (accenture.com) Scored · binary: FQ4 FY2026 revenue ≥$17.75bn yes/no
Accenture FQ4 FY2026 revenue · our locked floor
≥ $17.75bn
revenue · low end of the $17.75–$18.40bn guide

Accenture guided FQ4 fiscal-2026 revenue to $17.75–$18.40bn (1–5% local-currency growth). Our floor sits at the low end of the company's own range. Source: Accenture FQ4 FY2026 results, ~1 Oct 2026 (investor.accenture.com).

— 1 · The Locked Call

Accenture FQ4 FY2026 revenue lands ≥$17.75bn — P = 0.90.

We lock a binary: Accenture reports FQ4 fiscal-2026 revenue at or above $17.75 billion, per the company's results release. Confidence 90%.

— 2 · Why it's nail-able

The bar is the company's own guidance floor, on largely booked bookings.

Accenture's quarter is underwritten by a large book of contracted bookings, and our floor is simply the low end of its own $17.75–$18.40bn guide. Confidence 90%, not higher, because consulting demand and FX can move a quarter and a soft discretionary-spend patch is the tail. Resolves against Accenture's reported FQ4 revenue.

Locked on 2026-08-13 — scored against Accenture's reported FQ4 FY2026 revenue.

RAOSCAFF locks P-141 on 2026-08-13, before the FQ4 release. Scored against Accenture's reported FQ4 fiscal-2026 revenue versus a $17.75bn floor.

Locked
2026-08-13 (commit timestamp on origin/main)
Resolves
~2026-10-01 — Accenture FQ4 FY2026 results
Source
Accenture FQ4 FY2026 earnings release (investor.accenture.com)
Scored by
Binary: YES if FQ4 FY2026 revenue ≥$17.75bn; NO otherwise

The bar is the low end of Accenture's own guide — a discretionary-spend softness or FX swing is the disclosed tail.