General Mills holds the floor — FY27 EPS guide intact, locked at 82%.

82% probability General Mills does not cut the lower bound of its FY2027 adjusted-EPS guidance ($3.00–$3.20) at its Q1 results — a guidance-floor call on a defensive packaged-food maker. Resolves ~17 Sep 2026.

Type · Prediction Lock · guidance-floor binary Locked · 2026-08-13 · before the Q1 results Resolves · ~2026-09-17 · General Mills Q1 FY2027 results (generalmills.com) Scored · binary: FY2027 adjusted-EPS guidance lower bound ≥$3.00 held yes/no

General Mills FY2027 adj-EPS guidance floor · our locked call

≥ $3.00

FY27 adj diluted EPS lower bound held · P = 0.82

General Mills issued FY2027 guidance of organic net sales -1.5% to +0.5% and adjusted diluted EPS $3.00–$3.20 at its Q4 FY2026 report. We lock that the Q1 print keeps the lower bound ≥$3.00. Source: General Mills Q1 FY2027 results, ~17 Sep 2026 (generalmills.com).

— 1 · The Locked Call

General Mills keeps its FY27 adj-EPS guidance floor at Q1 — P = 0.82.

We lock a binary: at its Q1 FY2027 results, General Mills does not cut the lower bound of its FY2027 adjusted diluted EPS guidance ($3.00), per the company's release. Confidence 82%.

— 2 · Why it's nail-able — and why only 82%

Full-year guides are rarely cut one quarter in — but packaged food is under real volume pressure.

Companies seldom trim a freshly-issued full-year guide at the first quarter, and General Mills' defensive staples base supports the floor. We hold 82%, not higher, because packaged-food volumes have been soft and a weak Q1 or a promotional step-up could prompt an early guidance trim. Resolves against the Q1 FY2027 guidance.

Locked on 2026-08-13 — scored against General Mills' Q1 FY2027 FY-guidance update.

RAOSCAFF locks P-143 on 2026-08-13, before the Q1 release. Scored on whether General Mills' FY2027 adjusted-EPS guidance lower bound stays ≥$3.00.

Locked: 2026-08-13 (commit timestamp on origin/main)
Resolves: ~2026-09-17 — General Mills Q1 FY2027 results
Source: General Mills Q1 FY2027 earnings release (generalmills.com)
Scored by: Binary: YES if FY2027 adjusted-EPS guidance lower bound ≥$3.00 is held; NO if cut below

Scored on the FY adjusted-EPS guidance lower bound — a first-quarter guidance trim on soft volumes is the disclosed tail.