Through the weak quarter — ≥₹19,000cr, locked at 92%.

92% probability IndiGo reports Q2 FY2027 revenue from operations of at least ₹19,000 crore. Q1 delivered ₹24,584 crore, up 19.9% — but also a ₹238 crore net LOSS on an 86% fuel-cost jump, and the July-September monsoon quarter is the airline's seasonal trough. Resolves ~23 Oct 2026.

Type · Prediction Lock · revenue-floor threshold, seasonal trough Locked · 2026-08-26 · before the Q2 results Resolves · ~2026-10-23 · InterGlobe Aviation Q2 FY2027 results (goindigo.in) Scored · binary: Q2 FY2027 revenue from operations ≥₹19,000cr yes/no

IndiGo Q2 FY2027 revenue from operations · our locked floor

≥ ₹19,000cr

revenue from operations · vs ₹24,584cr in Q1 FY2027

InterGlobe Aviation reported Q1 FY2027 revenue from operations of ₹24,584.10 crore, up 19.94% from ₹20,496.30 crore a year earlier, but swung to a net LOSS of ₹238 crore from a prior-year profit as fuel costs jumped 86%. The July-September quarter is the seasonal low point for Indian aviation. Source: InterGlobe Aviation Q1 FY2027 results, July 2026.

— 1 · The Locked Call

IndiGo Q2 FY2027 revenue from operations reaches ≥₹19,000 crore — P = 0.92.

We lock a binary: InterGlobe Aviation reports second-quarter FY2027 revenue from operations of at least ₹19,000 crore. Confidence 92%.

— 2 · Why the floor is 23% below the last quarter

Because the monsoon quarter is genuinely weaker — and pretending otherwise would be the error.

Indian aviation has a pronounced seasonal shape: the April-June and October-December quarters are strong, and July-September, the monsoon, is the trough. A floor set near Q1's ₹24,584 crore would ignore that, so ours sits roughly 23% below it. What supports the floor is volume rather than price: IndiGo grew revenue 19.9% year-on-year in Q1 and carries a dominant share of Indian domestic capacity that does not evaporate in a single quarter, so the comparable prior-year quarter scaled by that growth still clears ₹19,000 crore with room. Confidence 92%, not higher, and we will state the uncomfortable part plainly: this airline posted a NET LOSS of ₹238 crore in its strong quarter because fuel costs rose 86%. We are locking the REVENUE line, which is holding up, and not profitability, which is not. Scored on revenue from operations.

Locked on 2026-08-26 — scored against IndiGo's reported Q2 FY2027 revenue from operations.

RAOSCAFF locks P-216 on 2026-08-26, before the Q2 release. Scored against InterGlobe Aviation's reported second-quarter FY2027 revenue from operations versus a ₹19,000 crore floor.

Locked: 2026-08-26 (commit timestamp on origin/main)
Resolves: ~2026-10-23 — InterGlobe Aviation Q2 FY2027 results
Source: InterGlobe Aviation Limited Q2 FY2027 results, revenue from operations (goindigo.in investor relations; BSE/NSE filing)
Scored by: Binary: YES if reported Q2 FY2027 REVENUE FROM OPERATIONS is ≥₹19,000 crore; NO otherwise. Revenue from operations — NOT total income including other income, NOT passenger revenue alone, and NOT profit, which was NEGATIVE in the preceding quarter.

This airline posted a ₹238 crore net LOSS in its STRONG quarter on an 86% fuel-cost rise. We lock revenue, which is holding; not profit, which is not.