RaoscaffResearch
Prediction Series · Lock · Issue P-352
Prediction Series · P-352

A store count management controls.

91% probability Jubilant FoodWorks ends FY2027 with at least 2,670 Domino's India stores. It began the year at 2,455 and reached 2,601 by 30 September; the lock needs 69 net additions in the second half.

Type · Prediction Lock · guidance-anchored, quick-service restaurants Locked · 2026-11-05 · before the Q4 FY2027 business update Resolves · ~2027-04-07 · Jubilant FoodWorks Q4 FY2027 business update (NSE: JUBLFOOD) Scored · binary: Domino's India stores at 31 Mar 2027 >= 2,670 yes/no
Domino's India stores at 31 March 2027 · our locked floor
2,670
net store count · from 2,455 at FY2026 end

Jubilant FoodWorks' Q2 FY27 business update reported Domino's India added 88 new stores, ending the quarter with 2,601 stores. The FY26 earnings presentation shows 2,455 Domino's India stores at the end of FY26, and management said on the Q4 FY26 call it would open about 230 to 250 restaurants this year.

— 1 · The Locked Call

Domino's India ends FY2027 with at least 2,670 stores — P = 0.91.

We lock a binary: Jubilant FoodWorks' Domino's India store count at 31 March 2027, as published in its business update, is 2,670 or more. Confidence 91%.

That is a net addition of 215 for the year, about 6.5% below the 230 at the low end of management's stated pace.

— 2 · The arithmetic

146 added in six months. 69 more needed.

The network was 2,455 at the end of FY2026, 2,513 after the first quarter and 2,601 after the second: 146 net additions in the half. Reaching 2,670 needs 69 more over two quarters, fewer than the 88 added in the second quarter alone.

The guidance is a spoken phrase, not a published range, and it does not say whether 230-250 means gross or net openings. The lock names the NET count, so closures count against it, which is the stricter reading and the right one.

— 3 · Store counts across the series

DMart, Trent, CP All, and now Domino's.

This series already holds store-count locks on Avenue Supermarts (P-320), Trent (P-333) and CP All's 7-Eleven Thailand (P-345). Two of those share this one's exposure to Indian urban consumer demand, disclosed here. A store count is a management decision with no price exposure, which is why the format recurs.

Only the Domino's India line is locked. Jubilant's group network totals do not reconcile cleanly across its documents after a business was reclassified as discontinued, so the group count is deliberately excluded.

Locked on 2026-11-05 — scored against Jubilant FoodWorks' reported Domino's India store count.

RAOSCAFF locks P-352 on 2026-11-05, before the Q4 FY2027 business update. Scored against the Domino's India store count at 31 March 2027 as reported by Jubilant FoodWorks.

Locked
2026-11-05 (commit timestamp on origin/main)
Resolves
~2027-04-07 — Jubilant FoodWorks Limited Q4 FY2027 business update
Source
Jubilant FoodWorks Q4 FY2027 business update or FY2027 earnings presentation (NSE: JUBLFOOD)
Scored by
Binary: YES if the Domino's India store count at 31 March 2027 (net, end of period; the line that was 2,601 at 30 September 2026) is 2,670 or more; NO if below. Explicitly NOT the JFL group network, NOT international markets and NOT gross openings.

Sixty-nine stores in six months, after eighty-eight in three.