90% probability Palantir Q2 2026 reported revenue is ≥$1.797B — its own guidance floor. Q1 2026 printed $1.633B (+85% YoY); the $1.797–1.801B guide is the tightest range Palantir has issued. Resolves Aug 10 2026.
Palantir Q1 2026 earnings: Q2 2026 guide $1.797–1.801B. Q1 2026 revenue $1.633B (+85% YoY). Floor $1.797B = +10% QoQ on Q1 actual. Source: Palantir Q2 2026 press release / 8-K (investors.palantir.com + SEC EDGAR), confirmed report date Aug 10 2026.
We lock a binary claim: Palantir Q2 2026 reported total revenue (as in the Aug 10 2026 press release / 8-K) is ≥$1,797,000,000. Confidence 90%. This is Palantir's own guidance floor — the tightest revenue guidance range the company has issued.
Palantir issued its Q2 2026 guidance of $1.797–1.801B (a $4M spread — the tightest in its history) at the Q1 2026 earnings call (investors.palantir.com). Q1 2026 revenue of $1.633B was +85% YoY, driven by US commercial and government AI demand. The $1.797B floor requires +10% QoQ — consistent with recent quarterly growth momentum. Resolves against the total revenue line in Palantir's Q2 2026 press release / 8-K on Aug 10 2026 (confirmed report date, per company calendar).
RAOSCAFF locks P-36 on 2026-06-21. Floor call — we score strictly against the ≥$1.797B threshold; upside is open.
Floor call — upside is not scored; we score only against the ≥$1.797B threshold.