82% probability Nvidia Q2 FY2027 total revenue meets or beats the low end of its $91.0B ±2% guide (≥ ~$89.18B). Guide set at the Q1 FY2027 call; the scored floor is ~$89.18B — the exact ±2% downside, not rounded. Resolves Aug 26 2026.
Nvidia Q1 FY2027 earnings call (set at call; investor.nvidia.com): Q2 FY2027 revenue guidance $91.0B ±2%; low end ~$89.18B (= $91.0B × 0.98), high end ~$92.82B (= $91.0B × 1.02). Scored floor is ~$89.18B — not rounded to $89.2B to avoid a rounding miss. Source: NVIDIA Q2 FY2027 8-K consolidated revenue line, SEC EDGAR; report date Aug 26 2026.
We lock a binary claim: Nvidia Q2 FY2027 total revenue (as reported in the Aug 26 2026 8-K consolidated revenue line, SEC EDGAR) meets or exceeds the low end of Nvidia's own $91.0B ±2% guidance — i.e., ≥ ~$89.18B (= $91.0B × 0.98). Confidence 82%. The scored floor is the exact ±2% downside, not rounded to $89.2B, to avoid any rounding-miss ambiguity.
Nvidia issued $91.0B ±2% guidance for Q2 FY2027 at its Q1 FY2027 earnings call (investor.nvidia.com). The Blackwell GPU ramp (GB200 NVL72 systems) and sustained hyper-scale data-center AI infrastructure spend have driven consecutive guidance beats; the ±2% downside floor is management's own conservative anchor. Confidence is 82% — not higher — because the guide is $91B on an elevated base and any demand pull-forward risk or export-control tightening could compress the quarter. Resolves against the NVIDIA Q2 FY2027 8-K consolidated revenue line on SEC EDGAR, report date Aug 26 2026.
RAOSCAFF locks P-56 on 2026-06-21. Scored floor is ~$89.18B (exact ±2% downside of $91.0B) — not rounded, to avoid rounding-miss ambiguity.
Floor call — the scored threshold is the guide low end (~$89.18B); upside is open and not scored.