74% probability Broadcom fiscal-Q3 2026 consolidated revenue is ≥$29.4B — its own guidance midpoint issued at the FQ2 (Jun 3 2026) release. Strong beat history; AI XPU custom-chip pipeline underpins the call. Resolves ~Sep 15 2026.
Broadcom FQ2 2026 earnings release (Jun 3 2026, investors.broadcom.com): FQ3 2026 revenue guidance ~$29.4B (+84% YoY). AI XPU (custom accelerator) and infrastructure software segments drive growth. Source: Broadcom FQ3 2026 press release / 8-K, investors.broadcom.com + SEC EDGAR; ~Sep 15 2026 (estimated from historical FQ3 cadence).
We lock a binary claim: Broadcom fiscal-Q3 2026 consolidated revenue (as reported in the press release / 8-K, ~Sep 15 2026) is ≥$29,400,000,000. Confidence 74%. This is Broadcom's own guidance midpoint issued at the FQ2 Jun 3 2026 release (investors.broadcom.com).
Broadcom's Jun 3 2026 FQ2 release guided FQ3 2026 to ~$29.4B — a +84% YoY increase — driven by AI XPU custom accelerator revenue from hyperscaler customers and the VMware infrastructure software segment. Broadcom has beaten its issued guidance in each of the prior five fiscal quarters. Confidence is 74% — not higher — because $29.4B is an elevated absolute run rate and any large-customer design-win timing shift could pressure the quarter. Resolution date ~Sep 15 2026 is an estimate from Broadcom's historical FQ3 earnings cadence; follow investors.broadcom.com for confirmation.
RAOSCAFF locks P-57 on 2026-06-21. Resolution date ~Sep 15 2026 is a historical-cadence estimate; the actual report date governs.
Resolution date follows the actual Broadcom FQ3 2026 report date — ~Sep 15 is a historical-cadence estimate, not a confirmed date.