93% probability Salesforce Q2 FY2027 revenue meets or exceeds $11.27B — the bottom of its own $11.27-11.35B guidance range. Guide issued at Q1 FY2027 (May 27 2026); +1.3% over Q1 actual $11.13B. Resolves Aug 26 2026.
Salesforce Q1 FY2027 earnings (May 27 2026, investor.salesforce.com): Q2 FY2027 revenue guidance $11.27-11.35B (+10-11% YoY, ~4pts from Informatica contribution); floor = $11.27B. Q1 FY2027 actual revenue: $11.13B. $11.27B floor = +1.3% over Q1 actual. Source: Salesforce Q2 FY2027 8-K / press release (investor.salesforce.com), resolves Aug 26 2026.
We lock a binary claim: Salesforce Q2 FY2027 revenue (as reported in the Q2 FY2027 8-K / press release, investor.salesforce.com, Aug 26 2026) meets or exceeds $11,270,000,000 — the bottom of its own $11.27-11.35B guidance range issued at Q1 FY2027 earnings (May 27 2026). Confidence 93%.
Salesforce guided Q2 FY2027 at $11.27-11.35B at its May 27 2026 Q1 FY2027 earnings call, citing approximately 4 percentage points of contribution from the Informatica acquisition on top of organic Cloud growth. Q1 FY2027 actual revenue was $11.13B — the $11.27B floor represents just +1.3% sequential growth. Salesforce has beaten its guidance low end in each of the prior six fiscal quarters. Confidence is 93% — not higher — because the narrow $80M guidance band means any macro-driven enterprise IT budget freeze or deal-push risk could compress results toward the floor. Resolves against Salesforce Q2 FY2027 8-K revenue line, Aug 26 2026.
RAOSCAFF locks P-71 on 2026-06-21. Scored floor: $11.27B (guidance low end issued May 27 2026). +1.3% over Q1 actual.
Floor call — scored threshold is $11.27B (guidance low end); upside is open and not scored.