BitMine ETH treasury — ≥6,000,000 ETH by Oct 31 2026, locked at 90%.

90% probability BitMine Immersion's disclosed total ETH holdings reach ≥6,000,000 ETH on/before Oct 31 2026. 5,620,754 ETH at Jun 14 2026; gap 379k ETH; pace 77k-127k/wk vs ~19.5k/wk needed. Calibrated treasury-accumulation call — not a stock tip.

Type · Prediction Lock · calibrated binary · Tier B Locked · 2026-06-21 · 5,620,754 ETH disclosed at Jun 14 2026 Resolves · 2026-10-31 · BitMine weekly ETH-holdings press releases (PRNewswire, BMNR); cross-check The Block treasuries Scored · binary: disclosed ETH holdings ≥6,000,000 ETH on/before Oct 31 2026 yes/no

BitMine disclosed ETH holdings (Jun 14 2026)

5,620,754 ETH

gap 379k ETH · pace 77k-127k ETH/wk · needed ~19.5k/wk to Oct 31

BitMine Immersion (BMNR) press release (Jun 14 2026): total disclosed ETH holdings 5,620,754 ETH. Gap to 6M threshold: ~379,246 ETH. Required pace to hit threshold by Oct 31 2026 (~20 weeks): ~19,500 ETH/week. Trailing accumulation pace: 77,000-127,000 ETH/week — approximately 4-7x the required rate. Sources: BitMine weekly ETH-holdings press releases (PRNewswire); The Block treasuries (cross-check). Not a stock tip — scored against treasury disclosure only.

— 1 · The Locked Call

BitMine disclosed ETH holdings reach ≥6,000,000 ETH on/before Oct 31 2026 — P = 0.90.

We lock a binary claim: BitMine Immersion's disclosed total ETH holdings (as reported in its weekly press releases, PRNewswire, ticker BMNR) reach at least 6,000,000 ETH on or before October 31 2026, cross-checked vs The Block treasuries. Confidence 90%. Scored against the disclosed treasury figure — not ETH price, not stock performance.

— 2 · Why it's nail-able

5,620,754 ETH at Jun 14; gap 379k; trailing pace 77k-127k/wk vs 19.5k/wk needed — pace advantage is approximately 4-7x the required rate.

BitMine Immersion disclosed 5,620,754 ETH holdings as of June 14 2026. The gap to the 6,000,000 threshold is approximately 379,246 ETH. With approximately 20 weeks remaining to October 31 2026, the required accumulation rate is roughly 19,500 ETH/week — approximately 4-7x lower than the trailing pace of 77,000-127,000 ETH/week. The 10% residual accounts for a material strategic reversal (selling rather than accumulating, public announcement, or a market dislocation that halts new purchases). This is a calibrated treasury-accumulation call; RAOSCAFF expresses no view on ETH price or BitMine equity performance. Resolves against the disclosed figure in BitMine's weekly press releases (PRNewswire), cross-checked vs The Block treasuries.

Locked on 2026-06-21 — scored against BitMine disclosed ETH-holdings press releases (BMNR, PRNewswire); cross-check The Block treasuries.

RAOSCAFF locks P-73 on 2026-06-21. Scored metric: disclosed ETH treasury figure in BMNR press releases — not on-chain, not ETH price. Calibrated call, not a stock tip.

Locked: 2026-06-21 (commit timestamp on origin/main)
Resolves: 2026-10-31 — BitMine Immersion weekly ETH-holdings press releases (PRNewswire, BMNR); cross-check The Block treasuries
Source: BitMine Immersion (BMNR) weekly press releases; The Block treasuries (cross-check)
Scored by: Binary: YES if BitMine's disclosed ETH holdings (per press release on/before Oct 31 2026) ≥6,000,000 ETH; NO otherwise

Scored metric is the disclosed press-release figure — not on-chain ETH holdings or ETH spot price. Calibrated accumulation call only.