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The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Showing 1 of 360 ·China ×Next 30 days ×October 2026 ×Clear all

October 20261 lock resolved

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in October 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-89China Q3 2026 GDPChina official Q3 2026 GDP ≥4.5% YoY — ~0.92HIT — locked China's official Q3 2026 GDP growth at or above 4.5% YoY. The NBS reported 4.5% on 19 Oct 2026 (Q2: 4.3%), exactly at the floor, which is inclusive. A threshold that was genuinely in contention.China18 Oct 2026locked 24 Jun 2026Hit

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