The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 3 of 360 ·Hit ×France ×Clear all
October 20261 lock resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-184 | L'Oreal Q3 2026 LfL growthL'Oreal Q3 2026 like-for-like sales growth ≥+2.0% (vs +6.8% in H1) — ~0.92HIT — locked L'Oréal Q3 2026 like-for-like sales growth of at least +2.0%. L'Oréal reported group like-for-like growth of +7.2% on 22 Oct 2026 (an adjusted +7.7% not used): a floor set far below what was delivered.France | 20 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Hit |
July 20262 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-98 | LVMH H1 2026 organic growthLVMH H1 2026 organic revenue growth ≥ 0% — ~0.74HIT - LVMH H1 organic revenue growth +2%, >=0%.France | 28 Jul 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-17 | Tour de France 2026 (GC simulation)Pogačar 56.9% win / 91.8% podium — 200k-race Monte-CarloHIT - the sim's favourite Pogacar (56.9% win) won the Tour, his 5th title, and podiumed.France | 26 Jul 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Hit |