The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 2 of 345 ·Hong Kong ×Next 90 days ×Clear all
July 20261 lock resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-09 | BYD Q2 NEV sales> 950k units (Apr+May already public = 704.6k)HIT - BYD Q2 NEV sales 1.108M units, >950k.ChinaHong Kong | 1 Jul 2026locked 20 Jun 2026 | Hit |
October 20261 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-210 | AIA Q3 2026 year-to-date VONBAIA year-to-date VONB ≥US$4.4bn at Q3 2026 (VONB, not annualised new premium) — ~0.92Hong Kong | 31 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026 | Locked |