The Record
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Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 2 of 360 ·South Korea ×October 2026 ×Clear all
October 20262 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-256 | POSCO Q3 2026 crude steel productionPOSCO Q3 2026 CRUDE STEEL PRODUCTION >= 8.4 Mt (Q2 8,884kt at 89.5% util; NOT product sales volume, 527kt lower) — ~0.91HIT — locked POSCO Q3 2026 crude steel production of at least 8.4 Mt. POSCO's results deck (2 Nov 2026) reports 9,117kt for the steel company, the same series as the 8,884kt Q2 anchor. Scored on crude steel production, not product sales volume.South Korea | 27 Oct 2026locked 2 Sep 2026 | Hit |
| P-314 | Samsung DS Division Q3 2026 operating profitSamsung DS Division Q3 2026 operating profit >= KRW 60tn (Q2 DS KRW 89.2tn of a GROUP KRW 89.5tn — the mobile unit LOST KRW 0.7tn; calibration correction to P-106) — ~0.91South Korea | 30 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |