The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 3 of 360 ·Resolved ×South Korea ×Clear all
October 20261 lock resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-256 | POSCO Q3 2026 crude steel productionPOSCO Q3 2026 CRUDE STEEL PRODUCTION >= 8.4 Mt (Q2 8,884kt at 89.5% util; NOT product sales volume, 527kt lower) — ~0.91HIT — locked POSCO Q3 2026 crude steel production of at least 8.4 Mt. POSCO's results deck (2 Nov 2026) reports 9,117kt for the steel company, the same series as the 8,884kt Q2 anchor. Scored on crude steel production, not product sales volume.South Korea | 27 Oct 2026locked 2 Sep 2026 | Hit |
July 20262 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-106 | SK Hynix Q2 2026 operating profitSK Hynix Q2 2026 operating profit ≥ ₩32tn — ~0.91HIT - SK Hynix Q2 operating profit ~KRW 60.5tn, >=KRW 32tn.South Korea | 29 Jul 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-33 | Samsung Galaxy Z Fold 8 UnpackedFold 8 / Fold 8 Wide announced at summer-2026 UnpackedHIT - Samsung announced the Galaxy Z Fold 8 (+ Fold 8 Ultra, Flip 8) at Unpacked on Jul 22.South Korea | 22 Jul 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Hit |