The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 15 of 345 ·Awaiting resolution ×United States ×September 2026 ×Clear all
September 202615 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-77 | Costco August 2026 net salesAugust 2026 net sales grow ≥ +5% YoYUnited States | 3 Sep 2026locked 23 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-72 | Adobe FQ3 2026 revenueAdobe FQ3 2026 revenue ≥ $6.67B (guide floor)United States | 11 Sep 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-136 | US August 2026 CPIUS August 2026 headline CPI YoY ≤ 3.7% (vs ~3.4% consensus) — ~0.82United States | 11 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-23 | US Open 2026 men's (final two)Champion is Sinner or Alcaraz — calibrated ~0.70United States | 13 Sep 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-50 | Oracle FQ1 FY27 cloudOracle FQ1 cloud revenue grows ≥ 58% YoY USD (guide floor)United States | 14 Sep 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-57 | Broadcom FQ3 2026 revenueFQ3 2026 revenue ≥ $29.4B (guide midpoint)United States | 15 Sep 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-144 | US August 2026 retail salesUS Aug 2026 retail sales rise year-on-year (10-month streak) — ~0.92United States | 16 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-159 | Lennar FQ3 2026 deliveriesLennar FQ3 2026 home deliveries ≥19,000 (~7% below an already-cut guide) — ~0.92United States | 16 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-103 | Fed September 2026 decisionFed holds funds rate at 3.50–3.75% at Sept 2026 FOMC — ~0.82United States | 17 Sep 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-143 | General Mills Q1 FY27 guidance floorGeneral Mills keeps FY27 adj-EPS guidance floor ≥ $3.00 at Q1 — ~0.82United States | 17 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-58 | Meta Connect smart-glassesNew smart-glasses model/HW at Connect 2026 keynoteUnited States | 23 Sep 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-100 | LA Dodgers 2026 playoff berthLA Dodgers clinch a 2026 MLB postseason berth — ~0.93United States | 28 Sep 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-16 | Spot-Bitcoin-ETF flowsCumulative net inflow ≥ $45B at Q3 closeUnited States | 30 Sep 2026locked 20 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-88 | Apple Sept-2026 event / iPhone 18 ProApple holds Sept-2026 keynote + iPhone 18 Pro on sale in September — ~0.95United States | 30 Sep 2026locked 24 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-108 | US 10-year yield end-Sept 2026US 10y Treasury yield closes Sept 2026 inside 3.75–5.25% — ~0.90United States | 30 Sep 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Locked |