The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 10 of 345 ·Awaiting resolution ×Next 30 days ×September 2026 ×Clear all
September 202610 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-103 | Fed September 2026 decisionFed holds funds rate at 3.50–3.75% at Sept 2026 FOMC — ~0.82United States | 17 Sep 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-143 | General Mills Q1 FY27 guidance floorGeneral Mills keeps FY27 adj-EPS guidance floor ≥ $3.00 at Q1 — ~0.82United States | 17 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-119 | Bank of England September 2026 decisionBoE does not cut (Bank Rate ≥3.75%) at Sept meeting — ~0.93United Kingdom | 18 Sep 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-58 | Meta Connect smart-glassesNew smart-glasses model/HW at Connect 2026 keynoteUnited States | 23 Sep 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-142 | Swiss National Bank September 2026SNB holds policy rate at 0.00% (40/41 economists) — ~0.93Switzerland | 25 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-100 | LA Dodgers 2026 playoff berthLA Dodgers clinch a 2026 MLB postseason berth — ~0.93United States | 28 Sep 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-138 | RBA September 2026RBA does not cut (cash rate ≥ 4.35%); hold-vs-hike direction not predicted — ~0.95Australia | 29 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-16 | Spot-Bitcoin-ETF flowsCumulative net inflow ≥ $45B at Q3 closeUnited States | 30 Sep 2026locked 20 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-88 | Apple Sept-2026 event / iPhone 18 ProApple holds Sept-2026 keynote + iPhone 18 Pro on sale in September — ~0.95United States | 30 Sep 2026locked 24 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-108 | US 10-year yield end-Sept 2026US 10y Treasury yield closes Sept 2026 inside 3.75–5.25% — ~0.90United States | 30 Sep 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Locked |