The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 3 of 360 ·Miss ×Next 30 days ×October 2026 ×Clear all
October 20263 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-209 | Reckitt FY2026 Core LFL floorReckitt keeps FY2026 Core LFL guidance floor ≥4% at Q3 (Core, not group LFL) — ~0.88MISS — locked that Reckitt would keep its FY2026 Core like-for-like guidance floor at 4% or above at Q3 (~0.88). On 27 Oct 2026 Reckitt CUT Core Reckitt guidance to +3.5% to +4.5% from +4.0% to +5.0%, after Q3 Core LFL growth of 3.3% on North American manufacturing constraints. Published as a miss.United Kingdom | 27 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026 | Miss |
| P-221 | ICICI Lombard Q2 FY2027 GDPIICICI Lombard Q2 FY27 GDPI ≥₹7,500cr (premium not profit; GDPI not GPW) — ~0.93MISS — locked ICICI Lombard Q2 FY2027 GDPI of at least ₹7,500 crore (~0.93). The company reported GDPI of ₹67.92bn (₹6,792 crore) on 14 Oct 2026, up only 3.0% against 7.0% for the industry as crop and mass health contracted. It also misses on the n basis (₹72.84bn). Published as a miss.India | 15 Oct 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Miss |
| P-145 | Euro area September 2026 inflationEuro-area Sept 2026 flash HICP ≤3.5% YoY — ~0.93MISS — locked euro-area September 2026 flash HICP at or below 3.5% (~0.93). Eurostat's flash on 2 Oct 2026 printed 3.8%, up from 3.2% in August and above the ~3.6% consensus, with energy the main driver; the 16 Oct final confirmed 3.8%. Published as a miss.not yet tagged | 1 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Miss |