The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 3 of 345 ·Awaiting resolution ×Australia ×Next 90 days ×Clear all
September 20261 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-138 | RBA September 2026RBA does not cut (cash rate ≥ 4.35%); hold-vs-hike direction not predicted — ~0.95Australia | 29 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
October 20262 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-152 | BHP Q1 FY2027 iron oreBHP Q1 FY27 WAIO iron ore ≥58Mt BHP-share (~8% below guided pace) — ~0.91Australia | 21 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-156 | Australia Sept-quarter 2026 CPIAustralia Sept-qtr 2026 headline CPI ≤4.5% YoY (vs 3.8% June qtr) — ~0.91Australia | 28 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |