The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 6 of 345 ·Australia ×Clear all
July 20261 lock resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-66 | Australia Women — T20 WC finalAustralia Women reach the ICC Women's T20 WC 2026 final — ~0.72HIT - Australia Women reached (and won) the ICC Women's T20 WC final, beating England by 7 wickets.Australia | 2 Jul 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Hit |
September 20261 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-138 | RBA September 2026RBA does not cut (cash rate ≥ 4.35%); hold-vs-hike direction not predicted — ~0.95Australia | 29 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
October 20262 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-152 | BHP Q1 FY2027 iron oreBHP Q1 FY27 WAIO iron ore ≥58Mt BHP-share (~8% below guided pace) — ~0.91Australia | 21 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-156 | Australia Sept-quarter 2026 CPIAustralia Sept-qtr 2026 headline CPI ≤4.5% YoY (vs 3.8% June qtr) — ~0.91Australia | 28 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
February 20271 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-269 | Woodside FY2026 productionWoodside FY2026 group PRODUCTION >= 170 MMboe (guidance 174-185 reaffirmed; H1 86.5; a source discrepancy is disclosed and non-decisive) — ~0.92Australia | 17 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026 | Locked |
August 20271 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-294 | EBOS Group FY2027 underlying EBITDAEBOS FY2027 UNDERLYING EBITDA >= A$610m in AUSTRALIAN dollars (guidance A$635-655m; NZ-domiciled but guides in AUD) — ~0.91AustraliaNew Zealand | 19 Aug 2027locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |