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RAOSCAFF

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Forecasts locked360every lock · click to resetResolved hit rate92.95%145 hit · 11 miss · 204 pendingMost recent resolutionHitP-78 · 29 Oct 2026 · open →Next criterion due5 Nov 2026P-164 · Maersk Q3 2026 underlying EBITDA · open →

Showing 1 of 360 ·Australia ×Next 7 days ×September 2026 ×Clear all

September 20261 lock resolved

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in September 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-138RBA September 2026RBA does not cut (cash rate ≥ 4.35%); hold-vs-hike direction not predicted — ~0.95HIT — locked that the RBA would not cut (cash rate at or above 4.35%; hold-vs-hike not predicted). On 29 Sep 2026 the RBA RAISED the cash rate target by 25bp to 4.60%. A hike satisfies a no-cut lock; we did not call the direction.Australia29 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Hit

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