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Showing 1 of 360 ·Brazil ×October 2026 ×Clear all
October 20261 lock resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-59 | Brazil 2026 — runoffNo first-round 50%+ → Oct 25 runoff — calibrated ~0.88HIT — locked that the 4 Oct 2026 Brazilian presidential first round would go to a runoff (no candidate above 50%). The TSE count gives Flávio Bolsonaro 47.03% and Lula 45.16% of valid votes.Brazil | 4 Oct 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Hit |