The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 6 of 345 ·Awaiting resolution ×China ×November 2026 ×Clear all
November 20266 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-168 | China October 2026 exportsChina Oct 2026 exports ≥US$300bn (level in USD, not the growth rate) — ~0.93China | 7 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-224 | China October 2026 PPIChina Oct 2026 PPI remains below 0% YoY (deflation persists; anti-thesis half) — ~0.90China | 9 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-227 | China October 2026 CPIChina Oct 2026 headline CPI ≤2.0% YoY (vs 0.5% July) — ~0.94China | 9 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-226 | China October 2026 M2 growthChina Oct 2026 M2 growth ≥7.0% YoY (rate not level - levels conflicted) — ~0.93China | 15 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-228 | China October 2026 total social financingChina Oct 2026 TSF STOCK growth ≥7.0% YoY (stock not flow) — ~0.93China | 15 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-225 | US import prices from China Oct 2026US import price index from China rises YoY in Oct 2026 (pro-thesis half) — ~0.87ChinaUnited States | 17 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Locked |