The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 1 of 360 ·Hit ×Germany ×Next 7 days ×Clear all
September 20261 lock resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-48 | Saxony-Anhalt 2026 electionAfD largest party by certified vote shareHIT — locked AfD as the largest party by certified second-vote share. The Landeswahlleiter's final result gives AfD 43.8% of valid Zweitstimmen (575,971 of 1,315,282) against the CDU's 17.2%, a lead of 26.6 points.Germany | 6 Sep 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Hit |