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RAOSCAFF

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Forecasts locked360every lock · click to resetResolved hit rate92.95%145 hit · 11 miss · 204 pendingMost recent resolutionHitP-78 · 29 Oct 2026 · open →Next criterion due5 Nov 2026P-164 · Maersk Q3 2026 underlying EBITDA · open →

Showing 1 of 360 ·Resolved ×Germany ×Clear all

September 20261 lock resolved

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in September 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-48Saxony-Anhalt 2026 electionAfD largest party by certified vote shareHIT — locked AfD as the largest party by certified second-vote share. The Landeswahlleiter's final result gives AfD 43.8% of valid Zweitstimmen (575,971 of 1,315,282) against the CDU's 17.2%, a lead of 26.6 points.Germany6 Sep 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Hit

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