The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 3 of 360 ·Hit ×Netherlands ×Next 7 days ×Clear all
October 20262 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-190 | Universal Music Q3 2026 revenueUniversal Music Q3 2026 total revenue ≥€3.0bn (vs €3.294bn in Q2) — ~0.93HIT — locked Universal Music Q3 2026 revenue of at least €3.0bn. UMG reported €3,394m (from the company's own PR Newswire release).Netherlands | 29 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Hit |
| P-240 | TSMC Q3 2026 revenueTSMC Q3 2026 consolidated REVENUE >= USD 43.0bn (guidance USD 44.6-45.8bn; correlated pair with P-235, disclosed) — ~0.93HIT — locked TSMC Q3 2026 consolidated revenue of at least US$43.0bn, below its US$44.6-45.8bn guidance. TSMC reported NT$1,494.24bn, or US$46.72bn, on 15 Oct 2026, about 2% above the top of its own guidance. Correlated with P-235 (ASML), as disclosed at lock.NetherlandsTaiwan | 15 Oct 2026locked 29 Aug 2026 | Hit |
July 20261 lock resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-90 | ASML Q2 2026 net salesASML Q2 2026 total net sales ≥€8.2bn — ~0.93HIT - ASML Q2 net sales EUR 9.3bn, >=EUR 8.2bn.Netherlands | 16 Jul 2026locked 24 Jun 2026 | Hit |