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RAOSCAFF

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Forecasts locked360every lock · click to resetResolved hit rate92.95%145 hit · 11 miss · 204 pendingMost recent resolutionHitP-78 · 29 Oct 2026 · open →Next criterion due6 Nov 2026P-178 · Rheinmetall 9M 2026 sales · open →

Showing 204 of 360 ·Awaiting resolution ×Clear all

August 20274 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in August 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-307Port of Tauranga FY2027 underlying earningsPort of Tauranga FY2027 UNDERLYING earnings >= NZ$145m (guidance NZ$160-175m; FY26 record NZ$155.3m; Air NZ scouted and DROPPED for withdrawing FY27 guidance) — ~0.91New Zealand25 Aug 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-308Mercury NZ FY2027 EBITDAFMercury NZ FY2027 EBITDAF >= NZ$980m (guidance is a POINT of NZ$1,075m conditioned on 4.1TWh hydro; FY26 NZ$1,068m; correlated with P-244 and P-300) — ~0.89New Zealand25 Aug 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-348Sky Network Television FY2027 UNDERLYING EBITDASky Network Television FY2027 UNDERLYING EBITDA >= NZ$145m (guidance NZ$155-165m excluding one-offs; FY26 reported NZ$170.2m ran ABOVE underlying NZ$157.0m) — ~0.90New Zealand27 Aug 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked
P-349Delegat Group FY2027 GLOBAL CASE SALESDelegat Group FY2027 GLOBAL CASE SALES >= 3.25m (plan 3.4m; FY26 3.32m; the NZ$62-66m profit forecast is FX-driven, so we lock volume) — ~0.90New Zealand27 Aug 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked

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