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RAOSCAFF

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Forecasts locked345every lock · click to resetResolved hit rate93.75%75 hit · 5 miss · 265 pendingMost recent resolutionHitP-167 · 1 Sep 2026 · open →Next criterion due18 Sep 2026P-119 · Bank of England September 2026 decision · open →

Showing 5 of 345 ·Awaiting resolution ×Australia ×Clear all

September 20261 lock resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in September 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-138RBA September 2026RBA does not cut (cash rate ≥ 4.35%); hold-vs-hike direction not predicted — ~0.95Australia29 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked

October 20262 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in October 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-152BHP Q1 FY2027 iron oreBHP Q1 FY27 WAIO iron ore ≥58Mt BHP-share (~8% below guided pace) — ~0.91Australia21 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-156Australia Sept-quarter 2026 CPIAustralia Sept-qtr 2026 headline CPI ≤4.5% YoY (vs 3.8% June qtr) — ~0.91Australia28 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked

February 20271 lock resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in February 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-269Woodside FY2026 productionWoodside FY2026 group PRODUCTION >= 170 MMboe (guidance 174-185 reaffirmed; H1 86.5; a source discrepancy is disclosed and non-decisive) — ~0.92Australia17 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked

August 20271 lock resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in August 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-294EBOS Group FY2027 underlying EBITDAEBOS FY2027 UNDERLYING EBITDA >= A$610m in AUSTRALIAN dollars (guidance A$635-655m; NZ-domiciled but guides in AUD) — ~0.91AustraliaNew Zealand19 Aug 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked

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