The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 7 of 360 ·Awaiting resolution ×Germany ×Next 90 days ×Clear all
November 20264 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-187 | Munich Re 9M 2026 net resultMunich Re 9M 2026 group net result ≥€4.8bn (€3.9bn already earned in H1) — ~0.92Germany | 5 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-178 | Rheinmetall 9M 2026 salesRheinmetall 9M 2026 consolidated sales ≥€8.0bn (€5.23bn already booked in H1) — ~0.92Germany | 6 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-185 | Deutsche Telekom Q3 2026 EBITDAaLDeutsche Telekom Q3 2026 adjusted EBITDAaL ≥€11.2bn (vs €11.8bn in Q2) — ~0.93Germany | 12 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-249 | Siemens FY2026 EPS pre-PPASiemens FY2026 basic EPS PRE-PPA >= EUR 10.70 (the floor held BEFORE the raise to EUR 11.20-11.50; FY ends 30 Sep 2026) — ~0.94Germany | 12 Nov 2026locked 2 Sep 2026 | Locked |
December 20262 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-204 | DAX year-end 2026DAX closes 2026 inside 21,000-32,000 (band; correlated with P-198, disclosed) — ~0.92Germany | 30 Dec 2026locked 25 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-198 | German 10-year Bund year-end 2026German 10-year Bund yield closes 2026 ≤4.50% (vs 3.27%, a 15-year high; locked against trend) — ~0.91Germany | 31 Dec 2026locked 21 Aug 2026 | Locked |
January 20271 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-253 | SAP FY2026 cloud revenueSAP FY2026 CLOUD REVENUE at CONSTANT CURRENCIES >= EUR 25.0bn (guidance EUR 25.8-26.2bn cc; backlog EUR 22.9bn) — ~0.92Germany | 27 Jan 2027locked 2 Sep 2026 | Locked |