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RAOSCAFF

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Forecasts locked360every lock · click to resetResolved hit rate92.95%145 hit · 11 miss · 204 pendingMost recent resolutionHitP-78 · 29 Oct 2026 · open →Next criterion due5 Nov 2026P-164 · Maersk Q3 2026 underlying EBITDA · open →

Showing 1 of 360 ·Hit ×United Kingdom ×September 2026 ×Clear all

September 20261 lock resolved

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in September 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-119Bank of England September 2026 decisionBoE does not cut (Bank Rate ≥3.75%) at Sept meeting — ~0.93HIT — locked that the Bank of England would not cut (Bank Rate at or above 3.75%). On 17 Sep 2026 the MPC held Bank Rate at 3.75% by 6-3, with all three dissenters voting to RAISE to 4%. Exactly at the floor, which is inclusive.United Kingdom18 Sep 2026locked 25 Jun 2026Hit

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