Skip to main content

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Showing 1 of 360 ·Miss ×United Kingdom ×October 2026 ×Clear all

October 20261 lock resolved

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in October 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-209Reckitt FY2026 Core LFL floorReckitt keeps FY2026 Core LFL guidance floor ≥4% at Q3 (Core, not group LFL) — ~0.88MISS — locked that Reckitt would keep its FY2026 Core like-for-like guidance floor at 4% or above at Q3 (~0.88). On 27 Oct 2026 Reckitt CUT Core Reckitt guidance to +3.5% to +4.5% from +4.0% to +5.0%, after Q3 Core LFL growth of 3.3% on North American manufacturing constraints. Published as a miss.United Kingdom27 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Miss

The running scoreboard → · The Intelligence Library →