The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 3 of 345 ·Awaiting resolution ×Italy ×Clear all
February 20272 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-267 | Ferrari FY2026 adjusted EBITDAFerrari FY2026 ADJUSTED EBITDA >= EUR 2.90bn (guidance raised to >=EUR 2.97bn; 4 metrics guided, this names one) — ~0.93Italy | 2 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-282 | UniCredit FY2026 net profitUniCredit FY2026 REPORTED net profit >= EUR 10.5bn incl. integration costs (guidance raised 3x to well above EUR 11bn) — ~0.93Italy | 9 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026 | Locked |
March 20271 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-229 | Enel FY2026 ordinary EBITDAEnel FY2026 ORDINARY EBITDA ≥ EUR 22.5bn (guidance EUR 23.1-23.6bn; H1 EUR 11.8bn) — ~0.92Italy | 18 Mar 2027locked 29 Aug 2026 | Locked |