The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 48 of 345 ·July 2026 ×Clear all
July 20268 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-43 | TCS Q1 FY27 USD revenueQ1 FY27 consolidated USD revenue in $7.55–7.85BHIT - TCS Q1 FY27 USD revenue ~$7.58bn, inside $7.55-7.85bn.India | 9 Jul 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-118 | PepsiCo Q2 2026 organic growthPepsiCo Q2 2026 organic revenue growth ≥1% — ~0.87HIT - PepsiCo Q2 organic revenue growth +2.4%, >=1%.United States | 9 Jul 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-11 | 2026 Emmy nominationsThe Bear ≥ 1 major comedy nominationHIT - The Bear earned an Outstanding Comedy Series nomination (25 total noms).United States | 8 Jul 2026locked 20 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-80 | OPEC+ August 2026 outputOPEC+ announces an August 2026 quota increase (>0 bpd vs July) — ~0.82HIT - OPEC+ announced an August output increase of 188,000 bpd (>0).not yet tagged | 6 Jul 2026locked 24 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-13 | F1 — Antonelli's title leadStill standings leader after the British GPHIT - Antonelli remained championship leader after the British GP (Leclerc won; Antonelli P16/no points after a wheel-shield failure); lead trimmed to 25 pts over Russell. Criterion = still leader, TRUE.United Kingdom | 5 Jul 2026locked 20 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-05 | Tesla Q2 deliveries424k (primary bucket 400–425k)MISS - locked the 400-425k bucket; Tesla delivered 480,126 in Q2, well above the band (a bucket miss - Tesla also beat the ~406k Street).United States | 2 Jul 2026locked 20 Jun 2026 | Miss |
| P-66 | Australia Women — T20 WC finalAustralia Women reach the ICC Women's T20 WC 2026 final — ~0.72HIT - Australia Women reached (and won) the ICC Women's T20 WC final, beating England by 7 wickets.Australia | 2 Jul 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-09 | BYD Q2 NEV sales> 950k units (Apr+May already public = 704.6k)HIT - BYD Q2 NEV sales 1.108M units, >950k.ChinaHong Kong | 1 Jul 2026locked 20 Jun 2026 | Hit |