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Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 5 of 360 ·United Kingdom ×Next 30 days ×October 2026 ×Clear all
October 20265 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-209 | Reckitt FY2026 Core LFL floorReckitt keeps FY2026 Core LFL guidance floor ≥4% at Q3 (Core, not group LFL) — ~0.88MISS — locked that Reckitt would keep its FY2026 Core like-for-like guidance floor at 4% or above at Q3 (~0.88). On 27 Oct 2026 Reckitt CUT Core Reckitt guidance to +3.5% to +4.5% from +4.0% to +5.0%, after Q3 Core LFL growth of 3.3% on North American manufacturing constraints. Published as a miss.United Kingdom | 27 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026 | Miss |
| P-219 | HSBC 9M 2026 revenueHSBC 9M 2026 constant-currency revenue ex-notables ≥$54bn ($38.2bn booked in H1) — ~0.93HIT — locked HSBC 9M 2026 constant-currency revenue excluding notable items of at least $54bn. HSBC reported $56,848m on that basis.United Kingdom | 27 Oct 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Hit |
| P-304 | Hindustan Unilever Q2 FY2027 EBITDA marginHUL Q2 FY2027 EBITDA MARGIN >= 22.0% (guided 22.5-23.5%; revenue AND the DIRECTION of profit conflict across sources, margin does not) — ~0.92HIT — locked Hindustan Unilever's Q2 FY2027 EBITDA margin at or above 22.0%. HUL reported a consolidated EBITDA margin of 22.6% on 28 Oct 2026 (22.43% on the same basis as the Q1 22.76% the lock cited): the narrowest margin in this batch, 0.4-0.6 points clear.United KingdomIndia | 23 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Hit |
| P-146 | UK September 2026 CPIUK Sept 2026 headline CPI ≤3.5% YoY — ~0.92HIT — locked UK September 2026 headline CPI at or below 3.5% YoY. The ONS printed 3.5% on 21 Oct 2026, up from 3.1%, exactly at the ceiling, which is inclusive. CPIH printed 3.6%: scoring that sibling measure would have produced a miss, and the criterion named CPI.United Kingdom | 21 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Hit |
| P-189 | Tesco H1 2026/27 group salesTesco H1 2026/27 group sales ≥£32.5bn (£16.83bn booked in Q1) — ~0.93HIT — locked Tesco H1 2026/27 Group sales of at least £32.5bn. Tesco's LSE release reported Group sales of £33,776m (excluding VAT and fuel); revenue including fuel was £37,353m. Both clear the floor.United Kingdom | 8 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Hit |