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RAOSCAFF

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Forecasts locked360every lock · click to resetResolved hit rate92.95%145 hit · 11 miss · 204 pendingMost recent resolutionHitP-78 · 29 Oct 2026 · open →Next criterion due5 Nov 2026P-164 · Maersk Q3 2026 underlying EBITDA · open →

Showing 3 of 360 ·Awaiting resolution ×New Zealand ×February 2027 ×Clear all

February 20273 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in February 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-293Summerset FY2026 group home deliveriesSummerset FY2026 GROUP home deliveries >= 650 incl. Australia (guidance 700-800; NZ-only guidance CUT by 50 to 600-650 — the criterion names GROUP) — ~0.91New Zealand25 Feb 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-347Scales Corporation FY2026 UNDERLYING NPATASScales Corporation FY2026 UNDERLYING NPATAS >= NZ$54m (guidance raised to NZ$55-60m; NZ$52.0m banked in 1H26, so H2 needs only NZ$2.0m) — ~0.91New Zealand25 Feb 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked
P-346Channel Infrastructure FY2026 EBITDAChannel Infrastructure FY2026 EBITDA >= NZ$100m (guidance NZ$103-108m, raised twice in 2026; H1 banked NZ$48.8m so H2 needs NZ$51.2m; US$5.95m asset sale is the basis trap) — ~0.91New Zealand26 Feb 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked

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