Skip to main content

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Showing 50 of 360 ·Hit ×October 2026 ×Clear all

October 202610 locks resolved

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in October 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-200SLB Q3 2026 revenueSLB Q3 2026 total revenue ≥$8.5bn (vs $8.97bn in Q2; guidance is sequential growth) — ~0.93HIT — locked Q3 2026 revenue of at least $8.5bn. SLB reported $9,449m on 23 Oct 2026, +5% sequentially and 11.2% above the floor.United States16 Oct 2026locked 21 Aug 2026Hit
P-325Wipro Q2 FY2027 IT SERVICES revenueWipro Q2 FY2027 IT SERVICES revenue >= US$2.50bn (guidance US$2.574-2.627bn, a ONE-QUARTER-AHEAD absolute dollar range; contrast P-319 HCLTech's full-year % guide) — ~0.93HIT — locked Wipro Q2 FY2027 IT services segment revenue of at least US$2.50bn. Wipro reported US$2,611.5m, inside its own US$2.574-2.627bn one-quarter-ahead guidance.India16 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Hit
P-154Prologis Q3 2026 core FFOPrologis Q3 2026 core FFO ≥$1.45/diluted share (~11% below Q2) — ~0.92HIT — locked Q3 2026 core FFO of at least $1.45 per diluted share. Prologis reported $1.60 on 15 Oct 2026 (Q3 2025: $1.49), 10.3% above the floor.United States15 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Hit
P-240TSMC Q3 2026 revenueTSMC Q3 2026 consolidated REVENUE >= USD 43.0bn (guidance USD 44.6-45.8bn; correlated pair with P-235, disclosed) — ~0.93HIT — locked TSMC Q3 2026 consolidated revenue of at least US$43.0bn, below its US$44.6-45.8bn guidance. TSMC reported NT$1,494.24bn, or US$46.72bn, on 15 Oct 2026, about 2% above the top of its own guidance. Correlated with P-235 (ASML), as disclosed at lock.NetherlandsTaiwan15 Oct 2026locked 29 Aug 2026Hit
P-263Ericsson Q3 2026 Networks adjusted gross marginEricsson Q3 2026 NETWORKS segment ADJUSTED gross margin >= 47.0% (guidance 48-50%; NOT group gross margin, 2pts lower in Q2) — ~0.91HIT — locked Ericsson Q3 2026 Networks adjusted gross margin of at least 47.0%. Ericsson reported 50.3% on 15 Oct 2026.Sweden14 Oct 2026locked 2 Sep 2026Hit
P-162Mexico September 2026 inflationMexico Sept 2026 headline inflation ≤4.5% YoY (vs 3.12% July) — ~0.93HIT — locked Mexico's September 2026 headline INPC inflation at or below 4.5%. INEGI printed 3.45% on 8 Oct 2026.Mexico8 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Hit
P-189Tesco H1 2026/27 group salesTesco H1 2026/27 group sales ≥£32.5bn (£16.83bn booked in Q1) — ~0.93HIT — locked Tesco H1 2026/27 Group sales of at least £32.5bn. Tesco's LSE release reported Group sales of £33,776m (excluding VAT and fuel); revenue including fuel was £37,353m. Both clear the floor.United Kingdom8 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Hit
P-59Brazil 2026 — runoffNo first-round 50%+ → Oct 25 runoff — calibrated ~0.88HIT — locked that the 4 Oct 2026 Brazilian presidential first round would go to a runoff (no candidate above 50%). The TSE count gives Flávio Bolsonaro 47.03% and Lula 45.16% of valid votes.Brazil4 Oct 2026locked 21 Jun 2026Hit
P-220Bajaj Finance Q2 FY2027 AUMBajaj Finance Q2 FY27 consolidated AUM ≥₹5.6 lakh crore (vs ₹5,46,944cr at Q1) — ~0.94HIT — locked Bajaj Finance Q2 FY2027 consolidated AUM of at least ₹5,60,000 crore. The 3 Oct 2026 business update reported about ₹5,84,750 crore (the later results deck: ₹5,84,624 crore), above the floor on either figure.India3 Oct 2026locked 27 Aug 2026Hit
P-141Accenture FQ4 FY26 revenueAccenture FQ4 FY26 revenue ≥ $17.75bn (low end of guide) — ~0.90HIT — locked FQ4 FY2026 revenue of at least $17.75bn, the low end of guidance. Accenture reported $18.68bn, +6% in US dollars and 5.2% above the floor.Ireland1 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Hit

The running scoreboard → · The Intelligence Library →