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RAOSCAFF

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Forecasts locked360every lock · click to resetResolved hit rate92.95%145 hit · 11 miss · 204 pendingMost recent resolutionHitP-78 · 29 Oct 2026 · open →Next criterion due5 Nov 2026P-164 · Maersk Q3 2026 underlying EBITDA · open →

Showing 44 of 360 ·February 2027 ×Clear all

February 20274 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in February 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-286Veolia FY2026 organic EBITDA growthVeolia FY2026 ORGANIC EBITDA growth >= 4.0% (guidance MAINTAINED 5-6% while net income guidance was RAISED to >=8% — we anchored on the one that held) — ~0.92France26 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-346Channel Infrastructure FY2026 EBITDAChannel Infrastructure FY2026 EBITDA >= NZ$100m (guidance NZ$103-108m, raised twice in 2026; H1 banked NZ$48.8m so H2 needs NZ$51.2m; US$5.95m asset sale is the basis trap) — ~0.91New Zealand26 Feb 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked
P-357UCB 2026 REVENUE GROWTH at CERUCB 2026 REVENUE GROWTH at CER >= 9.0% (raised guide: low-to-mid teens at CER; H1 +27% CER; reported ran 5pts below CER) — ~0.90Belgium26 Feb 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked
P-32TKO Group FY2026 revenueFY2026 total revenue ≥ $5.60B (floor) — ~0.90United States28 Feb 2027locked 21 Jun 2026Locked

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