The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 4 of 360 ·Switzerland ×Next 90 days ×Clear all
October 20261 lock resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-213 | ABB Q3 2026 revenueABB Q3 2026 total revenue ≥$9.0bn (vs $9.5bn in Q2; orders +28%) — ~0.93HIT — locked ABB Q3 2026 revenue of at least $9.0bn. ABB's regulatory release reported $9,701m, 7.8% above the floor (read from the release's newswire copies; ABB's own site did not load).Switzerland | 20 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026 | Hit |
September 20261 lock resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-142 | Swiss National Bank September 2026SNB holds policy rate at 0.00% (40/41 economists) — ~0.93HIT — locked an SNB hold at 0.00%. On 24 Sep 2026 the Swiss National Bank left its policy rate unchanged at 0%.Switzerland | 25 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Hit |
January 20271 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-258 | Roche FY2026 sales growthRoche FY2026 GROUP sales growth >= 3% AT CONSTANT EXCHANGE RATES (H1 +6% CER vs -2% CHF — opposite signs; level conflict so the RATE is locked) — ~0.92Switzerland | 28 Jan 2027locked 2 Sep 2026 | Locked |
February 20271 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-230 | Glencore FY2026 own-sourced copper productionGlencore FY2026 own-sourced copper ≥ 790kt (guidance basis 840kt; tonnes locked, price NOT forecast) — ~0.90Switzerland | 3 Feb 2027locked 29 Aug 2026 | Locked |