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RAOSCAFF

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Forecasts locked345every lock · click to resetResolved hit rate93.75%75 hit · 5 miss · 265 pendingMost recent resolutionHitP-167 · 1 Sep 2026 · open →Next criterion due18 Sep 2026P-119 · Bank of England September 2026 decision · open →

Showing 9 of 345 ·Switzerland ×Clear all

September 20261 lock resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in September 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-142Swiss National Bank September 2026SNB holds policy rate at 0.00% (40/41 economists) — ~0.93Switzerland25 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked

October 20262 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in October 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-213ABB Q3 2026 revenueABB Q3 2026 total revenue ≥$9.0bn (vs $9.5bn in Q2; orders +28%) — ~0.93Switzerland20 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-231Holcim nine-month 2026 net salesHolcim 9M 2026 group NET SALES ≥ CHF 11.5bn (H1 CHF 7.9bn; FY guidance upgraded) — ~0.93Switzerland30 Oct 2026locked 29 Aug 2026Locked

November 20261 lock resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in November 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-196Switzerland October 2026 CPISwitzerland Oct 2026 headline annual CPI ≤1.5% (vs 0.4% July) — ~0.94Switzerland3 Nov 2026locked 21 Aug 2026Locked

January 20271 lock resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in January 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-258Roche FY2026 sales growthRoche FY2026 GROUP sales growth >= 3% AT CONSTANT EXCHANGE RATES (H1 +6% CER vs -2% CHF — opposite signs; level conflict so the RATE is locked) — ~0.92Switzerland28 Jan 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked

February 20274 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in February 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-230Glencore FY2026 own-sourced copper productionGlencore FY2026 own-sourced copper ≥ 790kt (guidance basis 840kt; tonnes locked, price NOT forecast) — ~0.90Switzerland3 Feb 2027locked 29 Aug 2026Locked
P-283Givaudan FY2026 like-for-like sales growthGivaudan FY2026 LIKE-FOR-LIKE sales growth >= 2.0% (H1 +3.6% LFL vs -1.7% reported CHF — opposite signs; the 4-6% target is a 2026-2030 AVERAGE, not FY26 guidance) — ~0.91Switzerland4 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-248Nestlé FY2026 organic sales growthNestlé FY2026 ORGANIC sales growth >= 2.5% (guidance 3-4%; organic = RIG + pricing, NOT reported sales) — ~0.91Switzerland18 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-280Zurich Insurance FY2026 business operating profitZurich FY2026 GROUP business operating profit >= USD 9.0bn (record H1 USD 4.8bn; FY2025 USD 8.9bn; buffer sized for hurricane season) — ~0.91Switzerland18 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked

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