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RAOSCAFF

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Forecasts locked345every lock · click to resetResolved hit rate93.75%75 hit · 5 miss · 265 pendingMost recent resolutionHitP-167 · 1 Sep 2026 · open →Next criterion due18 Sep 2026P-119 · Bank of England September 2026 decision · open →

Showing 11 of 345 ·Awaiting resolution ×United Kingdom ×Clear all

September 20261 lock resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in September 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-119Bank of England September 2026 decisionBoE does not cut (Bank Rate ≥3.75%) at Sept meeting — ~0.93United Kingdom18 Sep 2026locked 25 Jun 2026Locked

October 20265 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in October 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-189Tesco H1 2026/27 group salesTesco H1 2026/27 group sales ≥£32.5bn (£16.83bn booked in Q1) — ~0.93United Kingdom8 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-146UK September 2026 CPIUK Sept 2026 headline CPI ≤3.5% YoY — ~0.92United Kingdom21 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026Locked
P-304Hindustan Unilever Q2 FY2027 EBITDA marginHUL Q2 FY2027 EBITDA MARGIN >= 22.0% (guided 22.5-23.5%; revenue AND the DIRECTION of profit conflict across sources, margin does not) — ~0.92United KingdomIndia23 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-209Reckitt FY2026 Core LFL floorReckitt keeps FY2026 Core LFL guidance floor ≥4% at Q3 (Core, not group LFL) — ~0.88United Kingdom27 Oct 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-219HSBC 9M 2026 revenueHSBC 9M 2026 constant-currency revenue ex-notables ≥$54bn ($38.2bn booked in H1) — ~0.93United Kingdom27 Oct 2026locked 27 Aug 2026Locked

February 20274 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in February 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-218Diageo H1 FY2027 organic net salesDiageo H1 FY27 organic net sales growth ≥−5% (decline-bounded floor; organic not reported) — ~0.90United Kingdom2 Feb 2027locked 26 Aug 2026Locked
P-252Unilever FY2026 underlying sales growthUnilever FY2026 UNDERLYING sales growth >= 3.5% (guided within 4-6%; H1 4.8% with 4.2pts volume) — ~0.92United Kingdom11 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-278RELX FY2026 profit growth vs revenue growthRELX FY2026 UNDERLYING adjusted operating profit growth EXCEEDS underlying revenue growth (relative lock — RELX guided a relationship, not a number) — ~0.93United Kingdom11 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked
P-273LSEG FY2026 organic revenue growthLSEG FY2026 TOTAL ORGANIC revenue growth >= 6.0% at CONSTANT CURRENCY (guidance 7.0-7.5%; NOT subscription growth, guided ~6.5%, which straddles this floor) — ~0.92United Kingdom25 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked

May 20271 lock resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in May 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-290Experian FY2027 organic revenue growthExperian FY2027 ORGANIC revenue growth >= 5.0% (guidance 6-8% maintained; Q1 was +10% actual / +8% cc / +7% organic; FY ends 31 MARCH 2027) — ~0.92United Kingdom19 May 2027locked 2 Sep 2026Locked

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