The Record
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Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 3 of 360 ·New Zealand ×February 2027 ×Clear all
February 20273 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-293 | Summerset FY2026 group home deliveriesSummerset FY2026 GROUP home deliveries >= 650 incl. Australia (guidance 700-800; NZ-only guidance CUT by 50 to 600-650 — the criterion names GROUP) — ~0.91New Zealand | 25 Feb 2027locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-347 | Scales Corporation FY2026 UNDERLYING NPATASScales Corporation FY2026 UNDERLYING NPATAS >= NZ$54m (guidance raised to NZ$55-60m; NZ$52.0m banked in 1H26, so H2 needs only NZ$2.0m) — ~0.91New Zealand | 25 Feb 2027locked 5 Nov 2026 | Locked |
| P-346 | Channel Infrastructure FY2026 EBITDAChannel Infrastructure FY2026 EBITDA >= NZ$100m (guidance NZ$103-108m, raised twice in 2026; H1 banked NZ$48.8m so H2 needs NZ$51.2m; US$5.95m asset sale is the basis trap) — ~0.91New Zealand | 26 Feb 2027locked 5 Nov 2026 | Locked |