The Record
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Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 9 of 360 ·Awaiting resolution ×United States ×Next 30 days ×Clear all
November 20268 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-149 | Constellation FY2026 guidance floorConstellation keeps FY2026 adj operating EPS floor ≥$11.50 at Q3 — ~0.88United States | 4 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-175 | Trade Desk Q3 2026 revenueTrade Desk Q3 2026 revenue ≥$600M (below its own slashed ~$650M guide) — ~0.91United States | 5 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-208 | Cisco Q1 FY2027 revenueCisco Q1 FY2027 total revenue ≥$17.5bn (guide $18.0-18.2bn) — ~0.93United States | 12 Nov 2026locked 26 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-82 | Taylor Swift 2027 Grammy ROTY nom'The Fate of Ophelia' a 2027 Grammy Record of the Year nominee — ~0.92United States | 16 Nov 2026locked 24 Jun 2026 | Locked |
| P-225 | US import prices from China Oct 2026US import price index from China rises YoY in Oct 2026 (pro-thesis half) — ~0.87ChinaUnited States | 17 Nov 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-181 | Deere FY2026 net incomeDeere FY2026 net income ≥$4.2bn (~7% below a raised $4.5-5.0bn guide) — ~0.91United States | 25 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-238 | Deere FY2026 net incomeDeere FY2026 NET INCOME ATTRIBUTABLE TO DEERE >= USD 4.5bn (the guidance floor held BEFORE August's raise to USD 4.75bn) — ~0.93United States | 25 Nov 2026locked 29 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-81 | NOAA 2026 Atlantic storms2026 Atlantic season ends with ≤ 14 named storms — ~0.72United States | 30 Nov 2026locked 24 Jun 2026 | Locked |
December 20261 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-153 | CBOT December 2026 cornCBOT Dec-2026 corn settles ≤550c/bu on 1 Dec 2026 (~19% above 462c) — ~0.91United States | 1 Dec 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |