The Record
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Showing 53 of 360 ·Next 7 days ×October 2026 ×Clear all
October 202613 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-89 | China Q3 2026 GDPChina official Q3 2026 GDP ≥4.5% YoY — ~0.92HIT — locked China's official Q3 2026 GDP growth at or above 4.5% YoY. The NBS reported 4.5% on 19 Oct 2026 (Q2: 4.3%), exactly at the floor, which is inclusive. A threshold that was genuinely in contention.China | 18 Oct 2026locked 24 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-200 | SLB Q3 2026 revenueSLB Q3 2026 total revenue ≥$8.5bn (vs $8.97bn in Q2; guidance is sequential growth) — ~0.93HIT — locked Q3 2026 revenue of at least $8.5bn. SLB reported $9,449m on 23 Oct 2026, +5% sequentially and 11.2% above the floor.United States | 16 Oct 2026locked 21 Aug 2026 | Hit |
| P-325 | Wipro Q2 FY2027 IT SERVICES revenueWipro Q2 FY2027 IT SERVICES revenue >= US$2.50bn (guidance US$2.574-2.627bn, a ONE-QUARTER-AHEAD absolute dollar range; contrast P-319 HCLTech's full-year % guide) — ~0.93HIT — locked Wipro Q2 FY2027 IT services segment revenue of at least US$2.50bn. Wipro reported US$2,611.5m, inside its own US$2.574-2.627bn one-quarter-ahead guidance.India | 16 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Hit |
| P-154 | Prologis Q3 2026 core FFOPrologis Q3 2026 core FFO ≥$1.45/diluted share (~11% below Q2) — ~0.92HIT — locked Q3 2026 core FFO of at least $1.45 per diluted share. Prologis reported $1.60 on 15 Oct 2026 (Q3 2025: $1.49), 10.3% above the floor.United States | 15 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Hit |
| P-221 | ICICI Lombard Q2 FY2027 GDPIICICI Lombard Q2 FY27 GDPI ≥₹7,500cr (premium not profit; GDPI not GPW) — ~0.93MISS — locked ICICI Lombard Q2 FY2027 GDPI of at least ₹7,500 crore (~0.93). The company reported GDPI of ₹67.92bn (₹6,792 crore) on 14 Oct 2026, up only 3.0% against 7.0% for the industry as crop and mass health contracted. It also misses on the n basis (₹72.84bn). Published as a miss.India | 15 Oct 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Miss |
| P-240 | TSMC Q3 2026 revenueTSMC Q3 2026 consolidated REVENUE >= USD 43.0bn (guidance USD 44.6-45.8bn; correlated pair with P-235, disclosed) — ~0.93HIT — locked TSMC Q3 2026 consolidated revenue of at least US$43.0bn, below its US$44.6-45.8bn guidance. TSMC reported NT$1,494.24bn, or US$46.72bn, on 15 Oct 2026, about 2% above the top of its own guidance. Correlated with P-235 (ASML), as disclosed at lock.NetherlandsTaiwan | 15 Oct 2026locked 29 Aug 2026 | Hit |
| P-263 | Ericsson Q3 2026 Networks adjusted gross marginEricsson Q3 2026 NETWORKS segment ADJUSTED gross margin >= 47.0% (guidance 48-50%; NOT group gross margin, 2pts lower in Q2) — ~0.91HIT — locked Ericsson Q3 2026 Networks adjusted gross margin of at least 47.0%. Ericsson reported 50.3% on 15 Oct 2026.Sweden | 14 Oct 2026locked 2 Sep 2026 | Hit |
| P-162 | Mexico September 2026 inflationMexico Sept 2026 headline inflation ≤4.5% YoY (vs 3.12% July) — ~0.93HIT — locked Mexico's September 2026 headline INPC inflation at or below 4.5%. INEGI printed 3.45% on 8 Oct 2026.Mexico | 8 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Hit |
| P-189 | Tesco H1 2026/27 group salesTesco H1 2026/27 group sales ≥£32.5bn (£16.83bn booked in Q1) — ~0.93HIT — locked Tesco H1 2026/27 Group sales of at least £32.5bn. Tesco's LSE release reported Group sales of £33,776m (excluding VAT and fuel); revenue including fuel was £37,353m. Both clear the floor.United Kingdom | 8 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Hit |
| P-59 | Brazil 2026 — runoffNo first-round 50%+ → Oct 25 runoff — calibrated ~0.88HIT — locked that the 4 Oct 2026 Brazilian presidential first round would go to a runoff (no candidate above 50%). The TSE count gives Flávio Bolsonaro 47.03% and Lula 45.16% of valid votes.Brazil | 4 Oct 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-220 | Bajaj Finance Q2 FY2027 AUMBajaj Finance Q2 FY27 consolidated AUM ≥₹5.6 lakh crore (vs ₹5,46,944cr at Q1) — ~0.94HIT — locked Bajaj Finance Q2 FY2027 consolidated AUM of at least ₹5,60,000 crore. The 3 Oct 2026 business update reported about ₹5,84,750 crore (the later results deck: ₹5,84,624 crore), above the floor on either figure.India | 3 Oct 2026locked 27 Aug 2026 | Hit |
| P-141 | Accenture FQ4 FY26 revenueAccenture FQ4 FY26 revenue ≥ $17.75bn (low end of guide) — ~0.90HIT — locked FQ4 FY2026 revenue of at least $17.75bn, the low end of guidance. Accenture reported $18.68bn, +6% in US dollars and 5.2% above the floor.Ireland | 1 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Hit |
| P-145 | Euro area September 2026 inflationEuro-area Sept 2026 flash HICP ≤3.5% YoY — ~0.93MISS — locked euro-area September 2026 flash HICP at or below 3.5% (~0.93). Eurostat's flash on 2 Oct 2026 printed 3.8%, up from 3.2% in August and above the ~3.6% consensus, with energy the main driver; the 16 Oct final confirmed 3.8%. Published as a miss.not yet tagged | 1 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Miss |