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RAOSCAFF

The Record

Every lock. Every score. Every country.

Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.

Forecasts locked360every lock · click to resetResolved hit rate92.95%145 hit · 11 miss · 204 pendingMost recent resolutionHitP-78 · 29 Oct 2026 · open →Next criterion due5 Nov 2026P-164 · Maersk Q3 2026 underlying EBITDA · open →

Showing 16 of 360 ·India ×May 2027 ×Clear all

May 202716 locks resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks resolving in May 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-344Ambuja Cements capacity at end-FY2027Ambuja Cements CEMENT CAPACITY at end-FY2027 >= 115 MTPA (109 MTPA today, 119 MTPA targeted, trial production commenced; Q1 volume FELL 14% so the 8% volume guidance was declined per the P-328 reasoning) — ~0.91India3 May 2027locked 4 Sep 2026Locked
P-336Marico FY2027 CONSOLIDATED REVENUEMarico FY2027 CONSOLIDATED REVENUE >= INR 14,000 crore (stated goal to cross INR 15,000cr; Q1 INR 3,957cr; domestic volume +11% was a 20-quarter high so we lock the LEVEL) — ~0.92India4 May 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-312Adani Ports FY2027 EBITDAAdani Ports FY2027 CONSOLIDATED EBITDA >= INR 23,000 crore (guidance INR 25,000-26,000cr maintained with H1 reassessment flagged; Q1 +19% but domestic volume +2%) — ~0.91India5 May 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-353CreditAccess Grameen AUM at 31 Mar 2027CreditAccess Grameen AUM at 31 Mar 2027 >= INR 33,500 crore (SUB-GUIDANCE FLOOR: 20-25% guide implies INR 35,508cr but H1 grew only 4.6%) — ~0.89India5 May 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked
P-333Trent total store count at 31 Mar 2027Trent NET total store count at 31 Mar 2027 >= 1,350 (1,312 at 30 Jun 2026; +20 net in Q1 while DMart added 3; profit growth reported as 22%, 23.5% AND 26%) — ~0.91India6 May 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-320Avenue Supermarts store count at 31 Mar 2027Avenue Supermarts NET DMart store count at 31 Mar 2027 >= 515 (503 at 30 Jun 2026; only 3 added in Q1, fewest in 12 quarters; closures count against it) — ~0.90India8 May 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-309Asian Paints FY2027 decorative volume growthAsian Paints FY2027 DECORATIVE VOLUME growth >= 5.0% (guidance 8-10% maintained; Q1 volume 9.0% vs VALUE 16.6% — NOT value, NOT revenue) — ~0.90India10 May 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-350Godrej Properties FY2027 BOOKING VALUEGodrej Properties FY2027 BOOKING VALUE >= INR 35,500 crore (guidance INR 39,000cr; H1 banked INR 16,659cr; H2 needs INR 18,841cr vs INR 18,584cr a year earlier; bookings not revenue) — ~0.90India10 May 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked
P-297Larsen & Toubro FY2027 revenue growthL&T FY2027 GROUP revenue growth >= 7% (guidance 10-12% MAINTAINED but Q1 delivered 7% — threshold set at the delivered rate, not the guided one) — ~0.91India11 May 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-340Indian Hotels FY2027 CONSOLIDATED revenue growthIndian Hotels FY2027 CONSOLIDATED revenue growth >= 7.0% (double-digit guidance reaffirmed; Q1 +15%, a 17th straight record; SEASONALITY INVERTED — Apr-Jun is the WEAKEST quarter) — ~0.92India11 May 2027locked 4 Sep 2026Locked
P-321Britannia FY2027 EBITDA marginBritannia FY2027 EBITDA MARGIN >= 15.0% (Q1 16.81% vs 16.38%; Q1 revenue reported as BOTH INR 5,000cr/+8.17% and INR 4,964cr/+9.5%, irreconcilable) — ~0.91India12 May 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-328Cipla FY2027 EBITDA marginCipla FY2027 EBITDA MARGIN >= 16.0% (guidance 18.5-20% MAINTAINED while Q1 printed 16.7%, down 881bp YoY from 25.56%; locked BELOW guidance deliberately) — ~0.91India14 May 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-313Sun Pharma FY2027 consolidated revenue growthSun Pharma FY2027 CONSOLIDATED revenue growth >= 5.0% YoY in INR (guidance is the PHRASE 'high single digits', not a number; Q1 +10.46%) — ~0.92India20 May 2027locked 3 Sep 2026Locked
P-358Bharat Electronics FY2027 STANDALONE REVENUEBharat Electronics FY2027 STANDALONE REVENUE from operations >= INR 30,500 crore (~15% growth target on INR 27,479.63cr; H1 +26%; H2 needs only +2.2%) — ~0.90India20 May 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked
P-343ONGC FY2027 STANDALONE crude oil productionONGC FY2027 STANDALONE crude oil production >= 17.0 MMT (Q1 4.452 MMT; profit +112% to INR 17,034cr purely on realisation US$66.13→US$99.45/bbl with volumes FLAT — earnings declined as a price call) — ~0.92IndiaSaudi Arabia27 May 2027locked 4 Sep 2026Locked
P-360India central government CAPITAL EXPENDITURE FY2026-27India central CAPITAL EXPENDITURE FY2026-27 >= INR 11,30,000 crore on CGA provisional actuals (BE INR 12,21,821cr; FY26 RE came in 2.3% below BE; NOT effective capex) — ~0.89India31 May 2027locked 5 Nov 2026Locked

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