The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 3 of 345 ·Saudi Arabia ×Clear all
November 20261 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-330 | Saudi Aramco Q3 2026 BASE DIVIDENDSaudi Aramco Q3 2026 BASE DIVIDEND >= SAR 75bn (Q2 base dividend SAR 82.1bn; adj net income rose 33% on the Iran war — we do NOT lock earnings, that is an oil price bet) — ~0.93Saudi Arabia | 4 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |
March 20271 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-257 | Saudi Aramco FY2026 capital expenditureSaudi Aramco FY2026 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE >= USD 48bn (guidance unchanged USD 50-55bn; H1 USD 25.1bn) — ~0.91Saudi Arabia | 9 Mar 2027locked 2 Sep 2026 | Locked |
May 20271 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-343 | ONGC FY2027 STANDALONE crude oil productionONGC FY2027 STANDALONE crude oil production >= 17.0 MMT (Q1 4.452 MMT; profit +112% to INR 17,034cr purely on realisation US$66.13→US$99.45/bbl with volumes FLAT — earnings declined as a price call) — ~0.92IndiaSaudi Arabia | 27 May 2027locked 4 Sep 2026 | Locked |