The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 6 of 345 ·Netherlands ×Clear all
July 20261 lock resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-90 | ASML Q2 2026 net salesASML Q2 2026 total net sales ≥€8.2bn — ~0.93HIT - ASML Q2 net sales EUR 9.3bn, >=EUR 8.2bn.Netherlands | 16 Jul 2026locked 24 Jun 2026 | Hit |
October 20262 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-240 | TSMC Q3 2026 revenueTSMC Q3 2026 consolidated REVENUE >= USD 43.0bn (guidance USD 44.6-45.8bn; correlated pair with P-235, disclosed) — ~0.93NetherlandsTaiwan | 15 Oct 2026locked 29 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-190 | Universal Music Q3 2026 revenueUniversal Music Q3 2026 total revenue ≥€3.0bn (vs €3.294bn in Q2) — ~0.93Netherlands | 29 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
January 20271 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-235 | ASML FY2026 total net salesASML FY2026 TOTAL NET SALES >= EUR 40bn (the TOP of the OLD guidance range, not the floor of the raised EUR 43-45bn) — ~0.91NetherlandsTaiwan | 27 Jan 2027locked 29 Aug 2026 | Locked |
February 20272 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-254 | Heineken FY2026 organic operating profit growthHeineken FY2026 ORGANIC operating profit growth >= 1.5% (reiterated 2-6% guide; H1 was 6.7%, above its own top) — ~0.91Netherlands | 10 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026 | Locked |
| P-266 | Adyen FY2026 net revenue growthAdyen FY2026 NET REVENUE growth >= 18% AT CONSTANT CURRENCY (guidance 21-23% cc; H1 +19% reported vs +21% cc) — ~0.91Netherlands | 11 Feb 2027locked 2 Sep 2026 | Locked |