The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 5 of 360 ·Canada ×Clear all
October 20261 lock resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-155 | Canada September 2026 CPICanada Sept 2026 headline CPI ≤3.5% YoY (vs 2.8% June) — ~0.92HIT — locked Canada's September 2026 headline CPI at or below 3.5% YoY. Statistics Canada printed 3.1% on 19 Oct 2026, driven by gasoline (+27.8%); excluding gasoline it was 2.2%.Canada | 20 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Hit |
September 20262 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-140 | Lululemon Q2 FY2026Lululemon Q2 FY2026 revenue ≥ $2.4bn (vs ~$2.55bn est) — ~0.85HIT — locked Q2 FY2026 net revenue of at least $2.4bn. Lululemon reported $2,415.6m on 3 Sep 2026, down 4% YoY: a margin of $15.6m, or 0.65%. Scored on the unrounded statement figure, because the headline '$2.4 billion' is rounded.Canada | 4 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Hit |
| P-137 | Bank of Canada September 2026BoC holds the overnight rate at 2.25% (no change) — ~0.95HIT — locked a hold at 2.25%. On 2 Sep 2026 the Bank of Canada held its target for the overnight rate at 2.25% (Bank Rate 2.50%, deposit rate 2.20%).Canada | 2 Sep 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Hit |
January 20271 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-259 | Canadian National FY2026 adjusted diluted EPS growthCN FY2026 ADJUSTED DILUTED EPS growth >= 3.0% (guidance raised to mid-to-high single digits; 3 EPS measures exist — adjusted diluted is the guided one) — ~0.92Canada | 26 Jan 2027locked 2 Sep 2026 | Locked |
February 20271 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-303 | Enbridge FY2026 adjusted EBITDAEnbridge FY2026 ADJUSTED EBITDA >= C$19.6bn (guidance C$20.2-20.8bn reaffirmed; C$41bn secured backlog; tolls on volume not the oil price) — ~0.93Canada | 12 Feb 2027locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |