The Record · South Korea
South Korea. Every lock, every score.
5 forecasts on South Korea, each committed to a public criterion before the outcome was known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. 3 resolved — 3 hit, 0 miss.
October 20261 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-314 | Samsung DS Division Q3 2026 operating profitSamsung DS Division Q3 2026 operating profit >= KRW 60tn (Q2 DS KRW 89.2tn of a GROUP KRW 89.5tn — the mobile unit LOST KRW 0.7tn; calibration correction to P-106) — ~0.91 | 30 Oct 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |
November 20261 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-163 | South Korea October 2026 exportsSouth Korea Oct 2026 exports ≥US$70bn (level, not the base-effect growth rate) — ~0.93 | 1 Nov 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
October 20261 lock resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-256 | POSCO Q3 2026 crude steel productionPOSCO Q3 2026 CRUDE STEEL PRODUCTION >= 8.4 Mt (Q2 8,884kt at 89.5% util; NOT product sales volume, 527kt lower) — ~0.91HIT — locked POSCO Q3 2026 crude steel production of at least 8.4 Mt. POSCO's results deck (2 Nov 2026) reports 9,117kt for the steel company, the same series as the 8,884kt Q2 anchor. Scored on crude steel production, not product sales volume. | 27 Oct 2026locked 2 Sep 2026 | Hit |
July 20262 locks resolved
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-106 | SK Hynix Q2 2026 operating profitSK Hynix Q2 2026 operating profit ≥ ₩32tn — ~0.91HIT - SK Hynix Q2 operating profit ~KRW 60.5tn, >=KRW 32tn. | 29 Jul 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Hit |
| P-33 | Samsung Galaxy Z Fold 8 UnpackedFold 8 / Fold 8 Wide announced at summer-2026 UnpackedHIT - Samsung announced the Galaxy Z Fold 8 (+ Fold 8 Ultra, Flip 8) at Unpacked on Jul 22. | 22 Jul 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Hit |