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RAOSCAFF

The Record · Taiwan

Taiwan. Every lock, every score.

4 forecasts on Taiwan, each committed to a public criterion before the outcome was known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. 1 resolved — 1 hit, 0 miss.

Locks4open on the Atlas →Resolved hit rate100%1 hit · 0 missMost recent resolutionHitP-08 · 16 Jul 2026 · open →Next criterion due15 Oct 2026P-240 · TSMC Q3 2026 revenue · open →

October 20261 lock resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks on Taiwan resolving in October 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-240TSMC Q3 2026 revenueTSMC Q3 2026 consolidated REVENUE >= USD 43.0bn (guidance USD 44.6-45.8bn; correlated pair with P-235, disclosed) — ~0.9315 Oct 2026locked 29 Aug 2026Locked

November 20261 lock resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks on Taiwan resolving in November 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-211Hon Hai Q3 2026 revenueHon Hai Q3 2026 consolidated revenue ≥NT$2.4tn (floor BELOW Q2, in a quarter guided to grow) — ~0.9412 Nov 2026locked 26 Aug 2026Locked

January 20271 lock resolving

RAOSCAFF prediction locks on Taiwan resolving in January 2027
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-235ASML FY2026 total net salesASML FY2026 TOTAL NET SALES >= EUR 40bn (the TOP of the OLD guidance range, not the floor of the raised EUR 43-45bn) — ~0.9127 Jan 2027locked 29 Aug 2026Locked

July 20261 lock resolved

RAOSCAFF prediction locks on Taiwan resolving in July 2026
RefThe locked callResolvesStatus
P-08TSMC Q2 revenue≥ NT$1.23T (Apr+May already public = 827.7B)HIT - TSMC Q2 revenue NT$1,270.38bn (~NT$1.27T), >=NT$1.23T.16 Jul 2026locked 20 Jun 2026Hit

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