The Record · Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia. Every lock, every score.
3 forecasts on Saudi Arabia, each committed to a public criterion before the outcome was known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. None has reached its resolution date yet; nothing to grade.
Locks3open on the Atlas →Resolved hit rate—3 pending
Most recent resolution—nothing resolved yet
Next criterion due4 Nov 2026P-330 · Saudi Aramco Q3 2026 BASE DIVIDEND · open →November 20261 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-330 | Saudi Aramco Q3 2026 BASE DIVIDENDSaudi Aramco Q3 2026 BASE DIVIDEND >= SAR 75bn (Q2 base dividend SAR 82.1bn; adj net income rose 33% on the Iran war — we do NOT lock earnings, that is an oil price bet) — ~0.93 | 4 Nov 2026locked 3 Sep 2026 | Locked |
March 20271 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-257 | Saudi Aramco FY2026 capital expenditureSaudi Aramco FY2026 CAPITAL EXPENDITURE >= USD 48bn (guidance unchanged USD 50-55bn; H1 USD 25.1bn) — ~0.91 | 9 Mar 2027locked 2 Sep 2026 | Locked |
May 20271 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-343 | ONGC FY2027 STANDALONE crude oil productionONGC FY2027 STANDALONE crude oil production >= 17.0 MMT (Q1 4.452 MMT; profit +112% to INR 17,034cr purely on realisation US$66.13→US$99.45/bbl with volumes FLAT — earnings declined as a price call) — ~0.92 | 27 May 2027locked 4 Sep 2026 | Locked |