The Record
Every lock. Every score. Every country.
Each forecast is committed to a public criterion before the outcome is known and scored against that exact criterion afterwards. Misses are published in full. Pick a country on the Atlas, a month, a status, or search the calls.
Showing 7 of 345 ·Awaiting resolution ×Not yet tagged ×Next 90 days ×Clear all
October 20262 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-145 | Euro area September 2026 inflationEuro-area Sept 2026 flash HICP ≤3.5% YoY — ~0.93not yet tagged | 1 Oct 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-105 | Copper end-October 2026LME copper closes end-Oct 2026 ≥ $9,000/t — ~0.92not yet tagged | 30 Oct 2026locked 25 Jun 2026 | Locked |
November 20261 lock resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-25 | GTA VI release dateGTA VI ships Nov 19 2026, no further delay — ~0.72not yet tagged | 19 Nov 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |
December 20264 locks resolving
| Ref | The locked call | Resolves | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| P-157 | European TTF gas 1 Dec 2026TTF front-month gas settles ≤€100/MWh on 1 Dec 2026 — ~0.92not yet tagged | 1 Dec 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-182 | Uranium spot 1 Dec 2026Uranium spot ≤US$130/lb U3O8 on 1 Dec 2026 (spot, not long-term contract) — ~0.92not yet tagged | 1 Dec 2026locked 13 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-199 | Arabica coffee 1 Dec 2026ICE Arabica Coffee C settles ≤500c/lb on 1 Dec 2026 (~16% above the 52-week high) — ~0.92not yet tagged | 1 Dec 2026locked 21 Aug 2026 | Locked |
| P-20 | F1 2026 Drivers' title (rest-of-season simulation)Antonelli ~70% champion — 40k-run Monte-Carlo (model 81% / market 61%, disclosed)not yet tagged | 15 Dec 2026locked 21 Jun 2026 | Locked |